The Science of Dating

Now for a somewhat vulgar continuation we will discuss the science of dating i.e. Bayes will be used to model attraction between souls.

Recall that P(a | b) = (P(b | a) * P(a)) / P(b).

Recall that P(a) is the initual probability with regards to the prior.

Thus P(a | b) is the attraction a hypothetical person feels towards her love given that event B has occured.

Cont. P(a) is the initial attraction etc.

Cont. P(b | a) is the updated attraction.

And P(b) = P(b | a)*P(a) + P(b | !a)*P(!a) which models the probability of event B occuring regardless of event a viz. the person being attracted to her with a degree of belief.

But here is the conondrum that it is not possible to know whether person n+1 makes her decisions in time or based on logic.